AnalysisSingapore

11 things to know about Frasers Centrepoint Trust before you invest

Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT) (SGX: J69U) is a REIT that invests in retail malls located in Singapore. It was listed on 5 July 2006 with three retail malls valued at S$915 million in its initial portfolio. Since then, FCT has enlarged its portfolio to six retail malls worth S$2.67 billion as at 30 September 2017.

In this article, I’ll bring a detailed account of the individual performances of FCT’s properties, their impact on FCT’s group financial results, the potential risk it faces and provide updates on FCT’s overall portfolio to assess whether it is capable of delivering sustainable distributions to its unitholders in future years to come. Therefore, here are the 11 things you need to know about Frasers Centrepoint Trust before you invest.

Segmental results

1. Causeway Point is the largest retail mall in Woodlands and was one of the three assets in FCT’s initial portfolio in 2006 (along with Northpoint and Anchorpoint). The mall is valued at S$1.19 billion, accounting for 44.6% of FCT’s portfolio value. Thus, Causeway Point remains FCT’s trophy asset. It enjoys a 99.5% occupancy rate with a pool of 223 tenants. Causeway Point’s key tenants include Metro, Courts and Cold Storage. Overall, the mall has achieved growth in gross revenue, from S$45.7 million in 2007 to S$84.7 million in 2017.

Source: Annual Reports of Frasers Centrepoint Trust

2. Northpoint is FCT’s second largest property and is valued at S$733.0 million, accounting for 27.5% of FCT’s portfolio value. Presently, it has an 81.6% occupancy rate, up from 70.9% in 2016. The reason for the low occupancy rate is due to a S$60-million asset enhancement initiative (AEI) the mall was undergoing. As I write, the AEI has recently completed and should result in an improved occupancy rate moving forward. Overall, the mall has grown its gross revenue, from S$19.9 million in 2007 to S$50.3 million in 2015, before dipping to S$42.0 million in 2017 due to the AEI.

Source: Annual Reports of Frasers Centrepoint Trust

3. Anchorpoint is one of FCT’s smaller assets and is valued at S$104.6 million, accounting for 3.9% of FCT’s portfolio value. It enjoys a 96.2% occupancy rate with a pool of 55 tenants. Its main tenants include Cold Storage and Cotton On Singapore. In 2007, Anchorpoint reported significantly lower revenue as it was undergoing an AEI in that financial year. Since its completion, Anchorpoint has achieved steady growth in gross revenue, from S$6.4 million in 2008 to S$8.5 million in 2017.

Source: Annual Reports of Frasers Centrepoint Trust

4. In February 2010, FCT acquired Yew Tee Point for S$125.7 million. It is a two-storey retail mall located adjacent to the Yew Tee MRT station. In 2017, it is valued at S$178.0 million, accounting for 6.7% of FCT’s portfolio value. It enjoys a 95.7% occupancy rate with a pool of 68 tenants. NTUC Fairprice is the anchor tenant and accounted for 20.3% of Yew Tee Point’s gross rental income in 2017. Since its acquisition, Yew Tee Point has increased its gross revenue from S$11.4 million in 2011 to S$14.4 million in 2017.

Source: Annual Reports of Frasers Centrepoint Trust

5. In September 2011, FCT acquired Bedok Point for S$127.0 million. It is a four-storey mall located near the Bedok MRT station. In 2017, Bedok Point is valued at S$105.0 million, accounting for 3.9% of FCT’s portfolio value. It has a 85.2% occupancy rate, a drop from 95.0% reported in 2016. The lower occupancy rate is due to the higher number of non-renewal of leases by former tenants in 2017. Pertama Merchandising remains Bedok Point’s key tenant and accounts for 8.9% of the mall’s gross rental income. Overall, Bedok Point has reported a steady decline in gross revenue, from S$11.4 million in 2012 to S$7.3 million in 2017.

Source: Annual Reports of Frasers Centrepoint Trust

6. In June 2014, FCT acquired Changi City Point for S$305.0 million. It is a three-storey retail mall located in Changi Business Park and next to the Expo MRT station. In 2017, the mall is valued at S$318.0 million, accounting for 11.9% of FCT’s portfolio value. It has an 88.5% occupancy rate with a pool of 118 tenants. Changi City Point’s key tenants include Kopitiam, Uniqlo, and Nike. Since its acquisition, the mall has maintained its gross revenue at S$24-S$25 million over the last 3 years.

Source: Annual Reports of Frasers Centrepoint Trust

Group financials

7. Overall, FCT has achieved a CAGR of 8.9% in gross revenue over the last 10 years, from S$77.5 million in 2007 to S$181.6 million in 2017. This is attributed to positive rental reversions from both Causeway Point and Northpoint, and the additional revenue contributed from the acquisitions of Changi City Point and Yew Tee Point during the period. FCT also achieved a CAGR of 10.6% in distributable income over the last 10 years, from S$40.4 million in 2007 to S$110.6 million in 2017. The increase is in line with FCT’s growth in gross revenue during the 10-year period.

Source: Annual Reports of Frasers Centrepoint Trust

8. FCT has increased its distributions per unit (DPU) from 6.55 cents in 2007 to 11.90 cents in 2017. As at 10 January 2018, FCT is trading at S$2.27 a unit. Hence, if FCT is able to maintain its DPU at 11.90 cents, its expected gross dividend yield is 5.2%. If you note the chart, Frasers Centrepoint Trust is one of the few Singapore REITs that have been able to pay higher DPUs consistently year after year. In fact, FCT is one the top 10 best performing REITs in Singapore over the last 10 years.

Source: Annual Reports of Frasers Centrepoint Trust

Growth drivers

9. On 16 November 2016, Frasers Centrepoint Trust acquired 10 strata-titled retail units in Yishun 10 Retail Podium which is located next to Northpoint. Key tenants include Egalite F&B and Singapore Post. Its financial results will be included together with Northpoint and should contribute to higher revenue and income.

10. Frasers Centrepoint Trust is sponsored by Frasers Centrepoint Ltd (FCL), an international real estate corporation listed on the SGX. FCL is the main shareholder of Frasers Centrepoint Trust with 41.86% shareholdings. In addition to the six retail malls, FCL owns five retail malls in Singapore — Northpoint City South Wing, The Centrepoint, Robertson Walk, Valley Point, and Waterway Point (33% owned). FCT’s portfolio has ready potential to grow if FCL intends to inject any of these assets in the future.

Risks

11. FCT is reliant on Causeway Point and Northpoint for a substantial portion of its income. The two malls made S$126.8 million in gross revenue, accounting for 69.8% of total gross revenue reported in 2017. Thus, FCT’s financials are primarily dependent on the performances of these two properties. Any negative event on either property would adversely impact the overall performances and attractiveness of FCT’s as an investment.

The fifth perspective

Since 2006, Frasers Centrepoint Trust has delivered consistent growth in revenue and distributable income to unitholders. If its track record is anything to go by, Frasers Centrepoint Trust remains on track to achieve long-term capital and dividend growth for Singapore REIT investors.

Ian Tai

Financial content machine. Dividend investor. Produced 450+ financial articles featured on KCLau.com in Malaysia and The Fifth Person, Value Invest Asia, and Small Cap Asia in Singapore. Regular host and presenter of a weekly financial webinar with KCLau.com. Co-founded DividendVault.com, an online membership site that empowers retail investors to build a stock portfolio that pays rising dividends year after year in Malaysia and Singapore.

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