12 things to know about Mapletree Commercial Trust before you invest (updated 2019)

12 things to know about Mapletree Commercial Trust before you invest (updated 2019)

Listed in July 2011, Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT) owns a portfolio of Singapore retail and office properties including VivoCity and Mapletree Business Centre. As at 31 March 2019, its portfolio was valued at S$7.0 billion. In this article, I’ll bring an update on MCT’s latest financial results, long-term performance, and valuation.

Here are 12 things to know about Mapletree Commercial Trust before you invest:

1. VivoCity: Revenue increased 3.0% year-on-year to S$212.9 million in 2019, and net property income (NPI) increased 3.6% to S$162.3 million. This was mainly due to step-up rents in existing leases and securing new leases from Zara, Adidas, Fila, Popular Bookstores, Nike, and the National Library Board.

Source: Mapletree Commercial Trust annual reports

2. Mapletree Business Centre 1 (MBC1): Revenue increased 0.9% year-on-year to S$127.1 million in 2019, and NPI increased 0.4% rise S$104.2 million. Since it was acquired for S$1.78 billion in August 2016, the business park has contributed steady revenues and income over the past two years.

Source: Mapletree Commercial Trust annual reports

3. PSA Building: Revenue increased 3.3% year-on-year to S$50.5 million in 2019, and NPI increased 4.1% to S$38.5 million. The office tower has maintained a high occupancy rate and recorded a positive rental reversion from renewed leases.

Source: Mapletree Commercial Trust annual reports

4. Mapletree Anson: Revenue and NPI remained flat at S$33.6 million and S$26.9 million respectively in 2019. Its financial performance has remained relatively stable over the last five years.

Source: Mapletree Commercial Trust annual reports

5. Bank of America Merrill Lynch Harbourfront (MLHF): Revenue increased 7.6% year-on-year to S$19.7 million in 2019 and NPI increased 9.7% to S$15.8 million. The management renewed a long-term lease with anchor tenant, Merrill Lynch Global Services Pte Ltd, for Levels 1 to 5 of MLHF in 2017 for six years until 2023. The building also secured two new tenants for Level 6 in 2018 and has been fully occupied since.

Source: Mapletree Commercial Trust annual reports

6. Overall, portfolio revenue increased 2.4% year-on-year to S$443.9 million in 2019 and distributable income increased 1.4% to S$264.0 million in 2019. This was mainly due to stable performances from MBC1 and Anson properties, and improved results from VivoCity, PSA and MLHF. Distribution per unit (DPU) grew 1.1% to 9.14 cents, and has risen every year since IPO.

Source: Mapletree Commercial Trust annual reports
Source: Mapletree Commercial Trust annual reports

7. As of 31 March 2019, MCT has a gearing ratio of 33.1%, a slight drop from 34.5% in 2018. The REIT has a debt headroom of S$1.5 billion which it can use for acquisitions of properties or asset enhancement initiatives in the future. Average all-in cost of debt is 2.97% and 85% of MCT’s debt is at fixed interest rates. Average term to maturity is 3.6 years and MCT has no more than 20% of debt due in a single year. MCT also has a credit rating of ‘Baa1’ with a stable outlook from Moody’s.

Source: Mapletree Commercial Trust 4Q 2019 presentation

8. As of 31 March 2019, MCT has an overall occupancy rate of 98.1% for its portfolio, an improvement from 96.1% a year ago. This is mainly due to the securing of new leases for extended spaces at VivoCity and vacated spaces at Mapletree Anson. Weighted average lease of expiry (WALE) increased to 2.9 years in 2019, up from 2.7 years the year before. MCT’s top 10 tenants contributed 25.5% of gross rental revenue in 2019.

PropertyOccupancy Rate (2018)Occupancy Rate (2019)
VivoCity93.1%99.4%
Mapletree Business Centre 199.4%97.8%
PSA Building96.1%96.4%
Mapletree Anson86.6%96.8%
Bank of America Merrill Lynch Harbourfront100.0%100.0%

9. MCT is replacing VivoMart — which had occupied Level 1 and Basement 2 of VivoCity — with local supermarket operator NTUC Fairprice. Fit-out works for the integrated space measuring 91,000 square feet started in April 2019, and the new space will include new stores such as Fairprice Xtra Hypermarket, Unity Pharmacy, and Cheers convenience store. Around 24,000 square feet of space was recovered from VivoMart and will be occupied by Uniqlo and food outlets such as Song Fish, Penang Culture, Nakhon Kitchen, and Wonderland Savour.

10. MCT’s sponsor, Mapletree Investments Pte Ltd, is presently the REIT’s largest unitholder with a 34.2% stake as at 31 May 2019. MCT has the rights of first refusal for seven Mapletree Investment properties. Combined, these properties have a total of 2.9 million square feet in net lettable area.

Source: Mapletree Commercial Trust 4Q 2019 presentation

11. P/B ratio: As of 31 March 2019, MCT has net assets per unit of S$1.60. Based on MCT’s share price of S$2.07, its current P/B ratio is 1.29, the highest in the last seven years.

12. Distribution yield: In 2019, MCT paid 9.14 cents in DPU. Hence, its yield is currently 4.4%, the lowest in the last seven years.

The fifth perspective

Mapletree Commercial Trust has delivered steady growth in revenue, NPI, and DPU since its IPO. However, its exceptional price run since the turn of the year – from S$1.68 to $2.07 – has seen the REIT reach record high valuations. Just like many Singapore REITs at the moment, MCT looks expensive based on its historical averages.

Ian Tai is the founder of Bursa King, a data platform that helps investors unearth consistently profitable stocks from a database of over 900+ stocks listed in Malaysia. As a Malaysian with close family ties in Singapore, Ian publishes a series of newsletters on how anyone can invest profitability in both countries.

5 Comments

  1. Wilfred

    July 23, 2019 at 2:40 pm

    Hi, I would like to ask how the debt headroom of $1.5 billion is derived. Thanks.

    • Ian Tai

      July 24, 2019 at 1:05 pm

      In Singapore, the maximum limit for a REIT’s level of gearing (total debt/total assets) is 45%. Thus, at the present gearing ratio of 33.1%, MCT is able to borrow another S$1.5 billion before it hits the 45% mark. The management stated this in its Q4 2019 press release.

  2. Chris

    July 23, 2019 at 8:47 pm

    Hello,

    With its current price, Do you think if it’s still a valued REIT to enter? There might be a high possibility of a rise of price for this over the next term.

    • Ian

      July 24, 2019 at 1:09 pm

      I don’t predict prices. I don’t know whether or not there is a possibility of a continuous rise in prices for REITs including MCT for the immediate future. My decision to invest in a REIT or any stock is dependent on its fundamental qualities, P/E ratio, P/B ratio and dividend (distribution) yields. These ratios tell me if I should invest or refrain from investing, be it in stocks or REITs.

    • The Fifth Person

      July 24, 2019 at 2:54 pm

      Hi Chris,

      Please note that we aren’t able to give you a recommendation to buy or sell any stock 🙂

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.