AnalysisSingapore

Built on steel: The quiet duopoly powering Singapore’s construction boom

In 2018, two of Singapore’s largest reinforcing steel fabricators became one.

BRC Asia spent S$200 million to acquire its rival, Lee Metal Group. The market noted it as a consolidation play. Analysts wrote it up and investors moved on. But most people missed what the deal actually created. Because overnight, BRC Asia became the dominant force in Singapore’s reinforcing steel market.

Before the acquisition, Singapore’s reinforcing steel market was fragmented and price-destructive. Multiple fabricators competing aggressively, undercutting each other, keeping margins thin for everyone involved.

After the acquisition, two players remained. The race to the bottom ended. Pricing discipline replaced it. And BRC Asia emerged controlling roughly 60% of the domestic market. These two players went on to become the only two companies capable of supplying HDB projects at a national scale without bottlenecks.

HDB builds tens of thousands of flats every year on a non-negotiable schedule. It cannot afford supply disruptions. and it does not experiment with unproven vendors. The 2018 acquisition didn’t just add market share. It reset the floor the business operates on.

That was seven years ago.

Since then, BRC Asia has been quietly building on that foundation.

The S$50 billion tailwind

Singapore is in the middle of one of the most ambitious construction programmes in its history. The Building and Construction Authority puts total construction demand at S$50.5 billion in 2025. The 2026 forecast sits between S$47 and S$53 billion, with civil engineering demand alone expected to reach a record S$11.6 to S$13.4 billion. Running alongside the mega infrastructure projects, the HDB has committed to launching 55,000 new flats between 2025 and 2027.

Every cubic metre of concrete poured into every one of these projects needs a steel skeleton inside it. And in Singapore, only two companies can supply it at this scale. BRC Asia is the larger one and the only one listed on the SGX. For investors who want to be positioned in Singapore’s construction value chain as a supplier, BRC Asia is the only door open to them.

In July last year, BRC Asia won the S$570 million steel reinforcement contract for the Changi Airport Terminal 5 substructure — the single largest contract in the company’s history. And while T5 serves as the anchor, it is far from the only engine. As successive phases of the Tuas Mega Port and the Cross Island Line are awarded to various main contractors, the massive demand for structural steel inevitably flows right back to the duopoly.

17 months on the books

At year-end 2025, BRC Asia’s sales order book stood at S$2.2 billion. That is roughly 17 months of work, already contracted, before a single new tender is won. The customers behind those orders are government agencies, national infrastructure authorities, and Tier 1 contractors executing projects that run for years. The kind of counterparties who don’t quietly walk away from commitments.

Most companies have to forecast what they will earn next year. BRC Asia already knows a significant portion will be in. The contracts are signed, the projects are underway, the steel just hasn’t been delivered yet.

What the numbers are saying

Last year, BRC Asia posted record net profits of S$94.1 million. Free cash flow came in at S$94.2 million. What the business earns, it keeps. That comes down to how the cost structure works. The fabrication plants are already built. The logistics network is already running. When more orders arrive, a larger share of each revenue dollar flows to the bottom line rather than into new infrastructure.

The dividend tells that story. Eight cents a share in the years following COVID. Twenty cents a share for FY2025. That 150% increase happened for two reasons working together. The business is generating more cash than it ever has, and management made a deliberate choice to share more of it, raising the payout ratio to 58%. With the competitive position secured and the heavy capital already spent, there is less reason to hold back.

Priced for what it is

Wonderful companies in unglamorous industries rarely announce themselves. They sit behind sector labels that most investors never look past. But at 10-13 times trailing earnings with a dividend yield approaching 4% to 5%, the market has begun to recognise this is not an ordinary construction company.

BRC Asia is a key supplier, not a contractor. It is a dominant player in a two-company market. Seventeen months of revenue already contracted. Record earnings with free cash flow that matches almost dollar for dollar. A free cash flow yield of 7.7% on a business that requires almost no ongoing capital to sustain it.

Whether that is cheap or fair depends on how you value order book visibility and structural market position.

The fifth perspective

Singapore is a 733 square kilometre city-state that has housed, fed, and employed millions for decades by relentlessly reinventing itself. The land is limited, the population continues to grow, and the infrastructure never stops ageing.

Singapore will always need to build; she has to. And when she builds, she needs reinforcing steel. The current super-cycle — T5, Tuas, the Cross Island Line, 55,000 BTO flats — will not last forever. When these mega-projects complete, volumes will moderate. Revenue and earnings will likely follow.

But when that cycle turns, BRC Asia will not be scrambling the way a contractor might. It will be exactly where it has always been. Dominant, cash-generative, and ready for what comes next; the Jurong Region Line, the Greater Southern Waterfront, and the homes of the next generation of Singaporeans.

BRC Asia has been supplying Singapore’s steel since 1938. It will still be here long after Terminal 5 opens its gates. For investors who can see past the cycle to the business underneath, the real opportunity isn’t just knowing what this company is. It’s knowing the right time to own it.

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Kenji Tay

Kenji Tay is the chief marketing officer and a co-founder of The Fifth Person. Like many of us here, he's an avid long-term investor after being forced to listen to countless two-hour investment conversations between Victor and Rusmin at the dinner table. It kinda rubs off eventually.

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